This is an alliance of center-left political parties led by the Congress. The Kannur strongman had built his political resurgence on the back of a tremendously effective PR-drive, built around the state’s response to the Covid-19 pandemic. The pollsters predicted an LDF win with 72 to 78 seats. The Hindus allege that Kerala – the birthplace of Adi Shankaracharya and home of some of the most beautiful temples in the country – has been reduced to the land of ‘aromatic beef’ and Mercedes-driving Communists. Kerala exit poll results 2021: Poll predictions for three-cornererd election to be out after 7.30 pm today Kerala exit poll results 2021: The single-phase election to 140 Assembly seats in the state of Kerala was held on 6 April and the counting of votes will take place on 2 May The 2021 Assembly poll of Kerala is just a few months away. Kerala Assembly Election Opinion poll 2021 Election Survey Result Who will win Kerala Polls BJP INC CPI JDU LJP ABP News CSDS Voter Opinion/Exit poll Constituency Party Wise 2021 CM Candidate Kerala Legislative Assembly elections will be held in Kerala in May 2021 to elect 140 members of the Kerala Legislative Assembly. It is a coalition of left-wing political parties that is led by the Communist Party of India (Marxist). All these three developments have made the Kerala political scenario an unusually complex one. 'People of WB Made Historic Mistake By Re-Electing Cruel Lady’: BJP's Babul Supriyo After Losing Tollygunge Seat, Violence Breaks Out In West Bengal After Election Results; BJP Holds TMC Responsible, Mamata Banerjee Loses Nandigram Seat To Suvendu Adhikari By 1953 Votes; CM Says Will Move Court & ECI For Recounting. Even in Trivandrum Congress tally has gone down from 21 to 9 seats. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. If the LDF manages to hold on to the current lead, as suggested by the survey, it is likely to beat the anti-incumbency cycle. Besides, Kerala’s daily Covid-19 cases also rose alarmingly. The other parties also seem prepared to improve their vote share as the projection for 2021 by C-Voter suggests they would be getting 8.5 per cent vote share as compared to 2.8 per cent vote share in 2016. Just nine months for Kerala Assembly election….along with Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, Assam and Manipur in May 2021..Gold smuggling controversy got a boost for Opposition Congress in Kerala. They have to choose its ally carefully to grow further in the state. The results will be declared on 2 May. The 2021 West Bengal assembly election could be anyone's. Meanwhile, the survey also suggests that Chief Minister Vijayan (47%) is more than twice as popular as Congress leader Oommen Chandy (22%). Mamata Banerjee Loses Nandigram: Will West Bengal See Another CM? There will be a total of 140 MLAs or legislators in the Assembly of Kerala. So, if we look at the last Assembly elections in 2016, the Left Democratic Front won the poll. It will be The LDF who will win the 2021 elections. Read the full article to know about the upcoming poll. On the other hand, Kummanam Rajasekharan is an important BJP leader and a former Governor of Mizoram. The high handedness with which Pinarayi handled the Sabarimala issue was a reflection of the state’s political thinking – that they could use the desecration of Hindu beliefs to signal minority voting blocs without inviting any backlash from the majority. The party bagged two-thirds of the total seats. Four states - West Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadua, Kerala and one Union Territory - Puducherry - went to polls. As per the poll, LDF may win 70-80 seats in 140 seats of Kerala while Congress lead UDF may win around 55-65 seats. 2021 Elections In India And Status Of Various Parties. If the BJP improves its tally as compared to the last elections, it will be a major loss for the LDF than the UDF due to commonality of Hindu vote bank. The Congress party is on a terminal decline. ABP-CVoter and IANS-CVoter opinion poll has predicted DMK's return in Tamil Nadu. Another major change that occurred after 2016 was the entry of Loktantrik Janata Dal and the Indian National League into LDF. Which are the major political parties and alliances in Kerala that can perform well in the 2021 Assembly polls? So who will win the Kerala Election 2021? The BJP has an advantage in Assam, and the AINRC-BJP in Puducherry. vs. RCB. Also, despite having one of the highest literacy rates in the country, it also has one of the largest unemployment rates in India. The BJP is looking for paths to grow in the state. Chintamani and Elections.in released their opinion poll for upcoming Kerala Assembly election. WB, Kerala, TN, Assam, Puducherry Assembly Election Exit Poll Results 2021 Live News: Exit poll numbers for five states that went to polls in March and April will be out today at 7PM. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) led by BJP is a coalition of right-wing parties. In the 140-member Assembly, the Left Democratic Front (LDF) is projected to win 74 seats, UDF - 65, NDA - 1. 191/4 20.0(RR 9.55) CSK. So the expectation is that the next will be a Nair. Just a few months ago, political analysts thought that Kerala CM Pinarayi Vijayan would ensure another win in the Assembly polls which are slated to happen next year. Oommen Chandy was the previous CM. The survey claimed that the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF) lead by CPM will continue its rule in Kerala. In this article, we shall touch upon the background of Kerala political scenario. As with most political complexities, the cause here has social underpinnings. It remains to be seen. Kerala: The survey suggested that this time as well Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan led Left Alliance (LDF) will come to power. Learn how your comment data is processed. The 2021 Kerala Legislative Assembly election is scheduled to be held on April 6, 2021, to elect 140 MLAs to the 15th Kerala Legislative Assembly. The Congress must alternate its CM candidates between the Nair caste and the Christian community. You have entered an incorrect email address! LDF will most likely get 41.6 per cent votes, the opposition UDF 34.6 percent and the BJP 15.3 per cent. Though some regional players switch sides based on the direction the winds, the major political formations mostly is the same. In the last general poll, Rahul Gandhi decided to contest from Wayanad and consolidated the Muslim vote entirely for the UDF. Search X. Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan is in trouble but UDF isn't gaining enough to win 2021. But what is next? It is the best time to discuss who will win the upcoming Kerala Assembly elections in 2021. The LDF won 91 seats in the 140-member Kerala Assembly in 2016 while the UDF bagged 47 seats. Both alliances have worked hard to appease the community over the past 5 years but in traditional circumstances, such an election would have seen a consolidation towards the Congress. The LDF is a coalition of left-wing political parties, led by the Communist Party of India (Marxist) while the UDF is an alliance of centre-left political parties led by the Congress. Who will win Kerala Assembly Election 2021? The UDF may face a challenge if the BJP splits the anti-incumbency vote and gives Pinarayi a second term. Therefore, we’ll talk about right from the stakes of political parties, contesting seats, promising contenders, alliances and all other issues. The past few decades have seen an upheaval in the societal ethos of Kerala. Poll of polls 2021: Kerala set to buck 4 decade trend with LDF win For the first time in four decades, Left projected to win again in Kerala, predicts Today's Chanakya And in Kerala, a second term for Pinarayi Vijayan's LDF. The Centre’s ruling BJP won one seat. In Tamil Nadu, they clearly predict a big win for MK Stalin's DMK. Ravi, Kailash Vijayvargiya Rules Out Polarisation, Says Mamata Banerjee Catapulted To Power On Emotional Gimmicks, Kamal Fails To Bloom In Coimbatore South, BJP’s Vanathi Defeats Actor-Turned-Politician In Thrilling Finish, Mamata Abandons Wheelchair After Riding Back To Power In West Bengal. Bengal elections 2021: EC removes returning officer, 2 others It can be seen that both the TMC and BJP have expressed confidence about winning the all-important seat. The opinion polls conducted by Times Now News and C-Voter has been released on Monday. Who will win in the upcoming 2019 Lok Sabha election? ED arrested his principal secretary. If not Pinarayi, then who will win Kerala elections. The state is also one of India’s leading recruiting regions for terror organisations like ISIS. So all Lockdown norms fizzled out https://t.co/8KUS2raArB, — J Gopikrishnan (@jgopikrishnan70) July 10, 2020. As per the poll Left dominated, LDF is set to retain the state despite 5-years of anti-incumbency. NDA Kerala unit was constituted in 2016. The final phase of Bengal Assembly election 2021 will be held on 29th April and the Bengal Election 2021 Exit Poll will start beaming on all the news channels. Kerala Election Results 2021: The 64-year-old CPI (M) leader, a teacher by profession, won by over 60,000 votes from the constituency in Kannur district. And finally, the BJP is growing continuously in Kerala. The 2021 Kerala Legislative Assembly Elections will take place in April or May. However, it is still unsure whether the current Leader of Opposition, Ramesh Chennithala, can fight against Pinarayi for the CM spot. Kerala is known for a long as the bastion of the Left. Kerala Assembly Election Opinion poll 2021 Who will win Kerala? Vijayan – who had faced the wrath of voters over the Sabarimala issue in the general election, which turned out to be a humiliating route for his alliance – somehow regained his clout. Also, the ruling and the opposition are both trying to appease the minority communities in the state. However, due to the pandemic still on, some changes in the schedule might occur. — K Surendran (@surendranbjp) December 16, 2020. From 2015 to 2018, he was the state president of BJP in Kerala. The scam involved a woman – Swapna Suresh, an ex-UAE consulate employee and state IT department consultant, with close links to the CM’s principal secretary. It is still not sure who will the Kerala elections for the Congress. 7 reasons why India’s global rank for healthcare is a shame: Review ahead of World Health Day, Everything you need to know about the ‘Wikipedia Scam’, All you need to know about new ‘Sarbloh’ ransomware that demands justice for protesting farmers, All you need to know about the Bharat Bandh on 26 Feb, Maharashtra Lockdown 2021: All you need to know, Tussle between Twitter and Government: Explained. The coming Assembly polls promise to be like no other the state has seen for a very long time. It's the Left again. The tenure of the members of the 14th legislative assembly in Kerala will end on June 1. Despite all the drawbacks of the Pinarayi government, political pundits cannot predict any major swerve in favour of the Congress-led opposition. The BJP knows that any growth into that segment will mostly come at the expense of the LDF. The UDF could manage only 47 seats. NDA Kerala unit was constituted in 2016, which is a coalition of right-wing political parties in the state. Assam Election Results 2021 Live: Ripun Bora Resigns As State Prez Post Party's Poor Show In Assembly Polls, Assembly Election Results 2021 HIGHLIGHTS: BJP Concedes Defeat In Bengal, Sweeps Assam; DMK Wins Tamil Nadu, LDF Breaks 40 Yr Jinx In Kerala, TN + Puducherry Election Results 2021 Live: BJP On Its Way To Form A NDA Government In Puducherry Says General Secretary C.T. Kangana Asks Diljit and Priyanka, Ye Konsi Niti Kar Rahe Hai? BJP is slated to get one seat in the assembly elections as suggested by the survey. LDF led by Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan is expected to retain power in Kerala. LDF may win 82 of the total 140 seats in the upcoming Assembly Elections in Kerala. The elections are set for April-May 2021. BJP may win 1-5 seats. With multi-phased races, the Chief Electoral body won't be having an easy task right from the election dates to the formation of the new governments. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. We were able to retain Palakkad municipality with full majority and win in Pandalam. Kerala Exit Poll 2021 live: Result predictions to be announced after 7pm. Since both Left and the Congress reduced to the margins nationally, a defeat in the upcoming state elections has the potential to trigger mass migrations of the loser’s voting blocs towards the BJP. But what is next? He began his political career as an activist of RSS and Sangh Parivar in the state of Kerala in 1970. But can he repeat it in the Assembly polls? If so, it would be a watershed in electoral politics in Kerala. 2021 is going to be a big and challenging year of the Election Commission of India as the deadline of the assemblies of the crucial states is coming to end during the first half of the year. Can Cong-led UDF topple Pinarayi govt? It seems all is well for Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan as the Left Democratic Front (LDF) government led by him is set to create history and return to power. NEW DELHI: Counting of votes will be held on Sunday (May 2, 2021) for the high-stakes assembly elections held recently in Assam, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Puducherry, overshadowed by the raging COVID-19 pandemic, as the BJP seeks to consolidate its hold over more states and the Congress along with its allies attempts to regain turf. TV Videos Podcast. Here are the main parties in the fray for the upcoming elections. The methodology adopted by C … The Nair community, a huge chunk of voters who historically leant towards the Congress, are shifting to the saffron party. But can they retain the power after 2021 Assembly poll? It is currently courting the LDF-favouring OBC community heavily. Secondly, there has been ambiguity around voting inclination of the Muslim community in the state. Since the 1980s, the UDF and the LDF have alternated in power each time polls took place. The assembly elections will be a contest between CPI(M) and the BJP. Kerala has a straightforward political history. It managed to win the segment during the Lok Sabha election in 2019. Exit polls by different agencies project a tough race to call in West Bengal. The LDF is currently in power. New Delhi: As polling for the eighth and final phase of West Bengal assembly elections completes, Zee … Of the 292 seats that went to the polls, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's TMC is likely to win 130-156 seats, while the BJP could be a notch ahead with 134-160 seats . Bineesh Kodiyeri, the son of the powerful Kerala CPI(M) secretary Kodiyeri Balakrishnan, all faced arrest in a drug-related case. Firstly, the party is still struggling to prop up a face who can combat Pinarayi. Assembly Election 2021 Results LIVE News And Updates: Stage Set For Counting of Votes in 4 States, 1 UT Election Results 2021 LIVE: Who Will Win Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala… Results of the Kerala local body elections are just out. This is for the 15th Kerala Legislative Assembly. In a survey conducted by ABP News in collaboration with C-Voter, the incumbent chief minister looks far away from danger and is comfortably placed to return to his position. The exit poll results for Kerala that went to the polls on April 6 will be out shortly. Why? This may be noted that in the 2016 Kerala Assembly Elections, the LDF had won 91 seats, UDF - 47, BJP and Independents - 1 each. Kerala has always been a state of various dichotomies. The projection for 2021 suggests the LDF will emerge triumphant in 85 seats while the UDF will win 53 seats. Icons of both formations ranging from K Karunakaran and Oomen Chandy of the UDF to EK Nayanar and VS Achuthanandan of the LDF have failed to overcome the anti-incumbency albatross – although the latter did come devastatingly close around a decade ago. These two coalitions will fight to win power in the 2021 Assembly poll. However, things again went uncertain in July when the news broke of the CM office’s alleged involvement in a gold smuggling scam. Elections in 4 States, a UT Amid Raging Covid-19 Pandemic . J&K: This wheelchair-bound man once struggled to make ends meet, now provides employment to many. But unlike any […] Exit Poll Results 2021: The counting of votes for assembly elections to four states -- Bengal, Assam, Kerala and Tamil Nadu -- and one Union Territory, Puducherry, will be done on May 2. The state has an abundance of water and green cover of forests. By: ABP News Bureau | 18 Jan 2021 06:48 PM (IST). However, Kerala still has to import its food from neighbouring states. The CM started losing his popularity as a great administrator. The BJP, however, is currently not pushing the envelope in Kerala either in terms of leadership or organisation unlike West Bengal or Tamil Nadu. However, the BJP cannot ensure a win single-handedly. BJP also trying for chance to increase number of MLAs. The LDF and the UDF are the two major political parties in the state. I am a person with no political biasness so I think I would answer the question in the most right way possible. The United Democratic Front (UDF) lead by Congress may get 56 seats. It’s the Left again. The BJP, which received 14.9 per cent vote share in 2016, is recording an uptick, is expected to get 15.3 per cent vote share this time. You can manage them any time from your browser settings. Results of the Kerala local body elections are just out. Kerala Election Results 2021 LIVE Updates: LDF could become first govt to retain power in state as counting picks pace - The Left's stunning performance can be attributed to no one other than Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan who led from the front. In Kerala, the key battle is between LDF and UDF. The LDF is expected to get 41.6 per cent of vote share in the upcoming assembly elections while the UDF is set to get 34.6 per cent. With assembly elections due in April-May this year, the projection by C-Voter for 2021 suggests the LDF is leading the United Democratic Front (UDF) by seven per cent in the vote share. The local body election in the southern state is considered a precursor of the Assembly elections due to be held in 2021.https://t.co/Unx1mEb5At, — India TV (@indiatvnews) December 16, 2020. This is one of the two major political alliances in Kerala. Delhi Capitals tied with Sunrisers Hyderabad (Delhi Capitals win Super Over by 2 wickets), Chennai Super Kings beat Royal Challengers Bangalore by 69 runs, Chennai Super Kings need 23 runs in 25 balls at 5.52 rpo. The Jose faction which had developed within Kerala Congress (M) got suspended from UDF for internal groupism in 2020, and later joined LDF. However, at the moment, our predictors are unable to determine who will win this election. BJP-led NDA is unlikely to make inroads in the state this election, however, the saffron party is projected to win more than one seat. Kerala Exit Poll 2021: The LDF and UDF are locked in a tough fight in the state. Can BJP increase its seat count in the next year’s poll in God’s Own Country? Pinarayi Vijayan is the chief minister of the state The coalition consists of CPI(M), CPI, and a variety of other smaller parties. At present, the position of any party is not … Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Puducherry Exit Poll Results 2021 Live Updates: India Today-Axis My India, Times Now-C Voter, India News, Jan ki Baat, India TV, … The Battlefield The incumbent CPM led LDF is taking on the Congress-led UDF in the majority of the constituencies. The remaining seat was won by an independent, who later formed the party Kerala Janapaksham (Secular). ABP News C-Voter Opinion Poll 2021: ABP News in collaboration with C-Voter assessed the state of Kerala ahead of 2021 Assembly Elections. 2. On June 1, 2021, the term of the 14th Kerala Legislative Assembly will expire. It remains to be seen who will win Kerala elections. No doubt the investigation has been extremely embarrassing for the CM as one skeleton after another came out of the LDF government’s closet. This year’s Oscars promises to be a historic one — after several delays and setbacks due to the pandemic — as women and people of colour earn major recognition, and … The vote-share prediction showed a massive jump for BJP from 10.2 per cent votes in 2016 elections to 37.5 per cent in the upcoming Assembly polls. They defeated the United Democratic Front which the Congress party had led in that election. This seems to be a distant dream for Congress. ... (Delhi Capitals win Super Over by 2 wickets) Match 19 - 25 Apr 2021 Match ended. The data is clear. That's what the India Today-Axis My India exit poll has predicted. At present two phases of Bengal election has been completed and in two phase 30 seats have went in for polling. As a result, the Hindu community has relentlessly ceded its own cultural space. Zee News Maha Exit Poll brings predictions about all five assemblies. This seems to be a distant dream for Congress. 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