It is a debate, I think we all ought to realize and be grown up about it. Then we went onto do the same in looking at older people aged over 70, and it turns out that confusion and delirium is another predictive sign. We’ve got to work out how as humans, we fit into that, that cycle of this brilliantly constructed machine that replicates inside us all and feeds off our human stupidities. “If that was around the country, then we’d have really knocked this virus on the head," he added. Simply use our contact address and we’ll get back to you within 24 hours. The information on this website has not been evaluated by the Food & Drug Administration or any other medical body. That would be the same as if he was given a vaccine. It was all that flattening the curve and helping the medical staff and this huge support in that first wave. We’ve got to accept nature will run its course to an extent, but every little bit we do, social distancing behavior, mask, washing your hands, they all have a slight impact on how much damage its going to do and how long it’s going to be around. Dr. Spector: Yes. Why do you think, and I’m assuming you think this, but why do you think that that is misguided? The last thing I want to ask you is just, you’ve compiled your own data, as we’ve talked about, you’re taking this broad approach to thinking about this in a complex systems based way rather than in a myopic, COVID is the only cause of human suffering and death sort of way. If you said to America, “Okay, death rates are far to high in Arizona. Everyone’s worried about getting killed under a terrorist attack. Earlier in his conversation with Eamonn, Professor Spector elaborated on other information the ZOE app had been able to provide the Kings College in regards to side-effects of the virus. What’s really interesting right now is, one of the things we talked about in the previous podcast, which was on the interface of genetics and nutrition, is Dr. Spector’s work with something called the Zoe app. COVID-19: UK could be 'past the pandemic' expert says as data … It’s been a super exciting journey and there’s all kinds of stories I could tell you, but the government tried to shut us down, my institution wouldn’t speak to me for a while because they thought we were doing something against the government. We think about 25% of Londoners probably had the virus and are likely immune. Based in Boston, MA and London, UK, ZOE is harnessing the power of data science and large-scale research studies to bring precision health and nutrition to everyone. The whole team basically was at least 40 people, spent the next four days, day and night, getting this app ready when we were just really in the peak of that first wave in London. Are we going to have a monthly injection of this stuff or is it going to last several years, and we can get rid of it and the same about our own immunity, which definitely wanes and it also can be very different. I really appreciate the work you’re doing. 4 … “So that’s perhaps a better rate than people had thought just on a single jab. Ari: Yes. In this episode, I am speaking with Dr. Tim Spector, one of the world’s most respected epidemiologists and a man who is in the top 1% of most cited scientists in the world. Everything is about that and they just don’t have that expertise necessarily or tradition of providing this this full picture that incorporates something as simple as GDP and each percentage change in GDP costs X many lives lost. Weekly update 5 Nov 2020. This is really an interesting phenomenon to me and I’ll tell you my perception of it, I’m curious to what extent you agree, but at the beginning we had two weeks to flatten the curve and the whole idea was, slow the spread such that you avoid acute hospital overwhelm, you avoid excess deaths that would occur as a result of overloading the hospitals and people not being able to get treated. He has published over 800 research articles and is ranked as being in the top 1% of the world’s most cited scientists. We had scares about fraud and hacking but now, the government loves us, they’ve given us funding, our reports go every day to number 10 Downing Street and people really use our data to make decisions about all kinds of things from hospital risks to locking down areas, to closing pubs, all kind of stuff. What’s happened since then is that although cases have kept going up, the relative mortality hasn’t really changed much. You’ve got an excess mortality there which I think was about 20% or 30% on those times. They said, “Well, if you don’t act now all hell’s going to break loose and people will die.” They were forced into this corner by some of their advisors, but if they’d come to me I would’ve said, “Well, our data doesn’t show that. This all happened about two weeks ago in the UK. Dr. Spector: Yes. 'People should be much more relaxed.' From our research, we can see that the food you eat influences the bacteria in your gut. I don’t think fear should be used on either side of those things. It’s useful to have these other examples of what people would accept. It never went beyond a linear increase and unlike other areas of the country, which did go exponential and took off, it’s only been creeping up in London, despite you’ve got massive city, 10 million people, most people still working. Love that idea to mandate things in terms of total harm minimization, which is based! 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